US STOCKS
FUNDS
FX & CRYPTO
SH/SZ-HK
HK STOCKS
 
 
 
 
 
 
News Sharing
For sharing news, please enter the email address of you and the receiver, then press SEND button.*Mandatory Fields
Receiver*
Enter email addresses, separated by semicolon (;). E.g. a@a.com;b@b.com
Your email address*
Content Sharing
新加坡金管局小幅調升坡元名義有效匯率升值幅度 符預期
新加坡金管局(MAS)發表4月貨幣政策聲明,新加坡經濟增長率將在今年餘下時間趨緩,產出缺口預計平均約為零。當地進口能源成本已經上揚,未來幾季預期會有更多進口商品與服務價格上漲。因此,MAS核心通脹率將回升,並在未來幾季維持高位。因此,MAS將小幅調升新加坡元名義有效匯率(S$NEER)的升值幅度,符市場預期,區間的寬度與中心水準則維持不變。MAS處於適當位置...
Reset
Send
The window will close in 5 seconds
新加坡金管局小幅調升坡元名義有效匯率升值幅度 符預期
Recommend
2
Positive
2
Negative
0
 
 

新加坡金管局(MAS)發表4月貨幣政策聲明,新加坡經濟增長率將在今年餘下時間趨緩,產出缺口預計平均約為零。當地進口能源成本已經上揚,未來幾季預期會有更多進口商品與服務價格上漲。因此,MAS核心通脹率將回升,並在未來幾季維持高位。

因此,MAS將小幅調升新加坡元名義有效匯率(S$NEER)的升值幅度,符市場預期,區間的寬度與中心水準則維持不變。MAS處於適當位置,能有效因應中期物價穩定的任何風險,並將在外部環境不確定性下持續密切關注經濟發展。MAS也隨時準備抑制S$NEER的過度波動。

新加坡收緊貨幣政策,屬亞洲區內首個回應因中東戰事推升能源價格帶來通脹風險升溫的經濟體。當地以匯率而不是利率作為主要政策工具。坡元在亞洲時段微跌0.1%,報1.2737兌一美元。

MAS稱,自2月底以來,通過霍爾木茲海峽的航運嚴重受阻,全球原油、天然氣及相關化學品的價格大幅上漲。亞洲出現實物短缺與進口價格上揚。未來幾季,更高的通脹也將侵蝕實質所得並抑制最終需求。

MAS表示,整體而言,新加坡主要貿易夥伴的經濟增長將低於先前預期,反映工業生產與支出受到拖累。儘管如此,部分先進市場的經濟活動應保持相對韌性,而全球與人工智能相關的投資預計短期內將持續進行。

新加坡貿工部初步估計顯示,2026年第一季經濟較去年同期強勁增長4.6%。增長持續受到與全球AI資本支出週期相關的製造業與服務業集群支撐。經季節性調整後,新加坡第一季GDP較前一季下跌0.3%,前一季則為擴張1.3%,這反映貿易相關與現代服務業集群在去年底強勁表現後活動出現預期中的放緩。

霍爾木茲海峽航運流量的前景存在重大不確定性。與此同時,累積的能源供應短缺與更高的投入成本將持續拖累新加坡經濟前景,對石化工業與運輸等能源依賴型產業的附加價值造成壓力。隨著愈來愈多新加坡進口成本隨時間上漲,更多行業的獲利能力將受到影響。儘管如此,持續的全球AI相關資本支出以及具韌性的區域電子產品生產,應能維持新加坡科技相關產業的活動。國內公共基礎建設與住房投資的穩定管道也將支持增長。

中東情勢持續演變且高度不確定。2026全年GDP增長率可能較2025年高於趨勢的增長步伐放緩,同時正產出缺口將縮小。先前預測介乎2%至4%的GDP增長率將在5月更新。

2026年1至2月,新加坡金管局核心通脹率維持在年增1.2%,與前一季持平。中東衝突前,石油與食品的進口成本較去年同期下降,且區域通脹溫和。國內方面,補貼提高使1月學前教育CPI下降。

然而,新加坡原油、天然氣與燃料進口價格已大幅上漲,未來幾個月將直接推升電費、瓦斯費及交通相關的CPI通脹。即使中東供應恢復,全球能源價格可能仍將維持高檔一段時間,因為交貨會延遲、供應需時間完全恢復,且各國政府重建能源儲備將增加被壓抑的需求。隨著能源成本上漲傳遞至全球供應鏈,更多新加坡進口成本將增加,進口的中間產品與最終消費品價格預期上漲。因此,國內非熟食與零售及其他商品消費物價通脹也應會升溫。

新加坡金管局核心通脹率與整體CPI通脹率預測均已從原先介乎1%至2%,上調至介乎1.5%至2.5%。非核心項目方面,由於燃料價格上漲,私人交通通脹將升高,但過去一年住房租金增長疲軟使住房通脹受抑,將部分抵銷此影響。

MAS稱,通脹與增長前景存在相當大的風險。能源供應中斷若持續更久,將加劇全球通脹壓力,並加深對成長的拖累。關鍵中間投入短缺也可能突然中斷工業生產。全球金融情勢進一步收緊或AI相關投資意外縮減,可能加劇增長的下行風險。(da/j)

AASTOCKS新聞

Preferred News
 
SITEMAP
Email: support@aastocks.com
AASTOCKS.COM LIMITED (阿斯達克網絡信息有限公司) All rights reserved.
Disclaimer
You expressly agree that the use of this app/website is at your sole risk.

AASTOCKS.com Limited, HKEx Information Services Limited, China Investment Information Services Limited, Shenzhen Securities Information Co. Ltd, Nasdaq, Inc., their respective holding companies and/or any subsidiaries of such holding companies, their Sources and/or other third party data provider(s) endeavour to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the Information provided but do not guarantee its accuracy or reliability and accept no liability (whether in tort or contract or otherwise) for any loss or damage arising from any inaccuracies or omissions.

Neither AASTOCKS.com Limited, HKEx Information Services Limited, China Investment Information Services Limited, Shenzhen Securities Information Co.Ltd., Nasdaq, Inc. nor their respective holding companies and/or any subsidiaries of such holding companies nor their Sources and/or other third party data provider(s) make any express or implied offers, representations or warranties (including, without limitation, any warranty or merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use) regarding the Information.

Neither AASTOCKS.com Limited, HKEx Information Services Limited, China Investment Information Services Limited, Shenzhen Securities Information Co. Ltd., Nasdaq, Inc. nor their respective holding companies and/or any subsidiaries of such holding companies nor their Sources and/or other third party data provider(s) will be liable to any Subscriber or any other party for any interruption, inaccuracy, error, or omission, regardless of cause, in the Information or for any damages (whether direct or indirect, consequential, punitive, or exemplary) resulting from its use by any party.

AASTOCKS.com Limited shall not be liable for any failure or delay in performance of its obligations under this Disclaimer because of circumstances beyond its reasonable control, including but without limitation, acts of God, typhoons, rainstorms, other natural disasters, government restrictions, strikes, wars, virus outbreak, network failures or telecommunications failures.

Morningstar Disclaimer: Copyright © 2020 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information, data, analyses and opinions ("Information") contained herein: (1) include the proprietary information of Morningstar and Morningstar’s third party licensors; (2) may not be copied or redistributed except as specifically authorised; (3) do not constitute investment advice; (4) are provided solely for informational purposes; and (5) are not warranted to be complete, accurate or timely. Morningstar is not responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses related to the Information or its use. Please verify all of the Information before using it and don’t make any investment decision except upon the advice of a professional financial adviser. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The value and income derived from investments may go down as well as up.

The information and contents contained in this app/website are based on the analyses and interpretations of publicly available information obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Such analyses and information have not been independently verified and AASTOCKS.com Limited makes no guarantees to their accuracy, completeness, timeliness or correctness.

The information, financial market data, quotes, charts, statistics, exchange rate, news, research, analysis, buy and sell ratings, Education Center and other information on this app/website should be used as references only at your own discretion. Prior to the execution of a security or any other trade based upon the Information, you are advised to consult independent professional advice to verify pricing information or to obtain more detailed market information. AASTOCKS.com Limited is not soliciting any subscriber or app/website visitor to execute any trade. Any trades executed following the said information, commentaries and/or buy/sell ratings on this app/website are taken at your own risk for your own account.

As a convenience to users, the AASTOCKS.com Limited has added a translation feature developed by Azure OpenAI to assist users in understanding information on this platform in languages other than Chinese. The translated text may lose some of its intended meaning. Some items on the site, including images containing text, videos with captioning, PDF documents, or maps may not be translated, and some features may not work in the translated versions.

The AASTOCKS.com Limited does not guarantee the accuracy of translations, and the translated text should not be considered exact. The text translated is made available on an as is and as available basis without any warranties of any kind. The AASTOCKS.com Limited will not accept any liability for damages or losses of any kind caused by the use of the translation feature.

AASTOCKS.com Limited provides the information and services on an "AS IS" basis. The information and contents on this app/website are subject to change without notice. AASTOCKS.com Limited reserves the right, in its sole discretion but without any obligation, to make improvements to, or correct any error or omissions in any portion of this app/website at any time.

The subscriber or app/website visitor agrees not to reproduce, retransmit, disseminate, distribute, broadcast, publish, circulate, sell or commercially exploit the information and contents on this app/website in any manner without the express written consent of AASTOCKS.com Limited.

Investment involves risk. You may make use of the Education Center of this website for academic reference purposes at your own discretion. AASTOCKS.com Limited cannot and does not give any assurance that the present or future buy/sell commentaries and signals on this app/website will be profitable. AASTOCKS.com Limited cannot guarantee, and the subscriber or app/website visitor should not assume, that the future performance will equal past performance.

AASTOCKS.com Limited may point to other sites that may be of interest to the subscriber or app/website visitor but for which AASTOCKS.com Limited has no responsibility and only provides this as a service to the subscriber or app/website visitor.

AASTOCKS.com Limited does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, advertisements or contents contained on, distributed through, or linked, downloaded or accessed from any of the services on this app/website. AASTOCKS.com Limited cannot and does not guarantee the quality or reliability of any products or information purchased or obtained by you as a result of an advertisement or any other information displayed on this app/website.

AATV is a video platform owned by AASTOCKS.com Limited.

You acknowledge that: (i) AATV is provided for information purposes only and, in particular, is not intended for trading purposes; (ii) AATV does not and none of the information contained in its program constitutes a solicitation, offer, opinion, or recommendation by us to buy or sell any security, or to provide legal, tax, accounting, or investment advice or services whether or not regarding the profitability or suitability of any security or investment; and (iii) AATV is not intended for use by, or distribution to, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such use or distribution would be contrary to law or regulation.

The financial analysis or opinion expressed in the AATV programs is for reference and discussion only, and does not represent AASTOCKS.com Limited. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their own investment objectives and financial situation. AASTOCKS.com Limited shall not, directly or indirectly, be liable, in any way, to you or any other person for any: (i) inaccuracies or errors in or omissions from AATV including, but not limited to, quotes and financial data; (ii) delays, errors, or interruptions in the transmission or delivery of AATV; or (iii) loss or damage arising therefrom or occasioned thereby, or by any reason of nonperformance.

AASTOCKS.com Limited reserves the right to change this Disclaimer at any time by posting changes online at this app/website. You are responsible for reviewing regularly information posted therein to obtain timely notice of such changes. Your continued use of this app / website after changes are posted constitutes your acceptance of this Agreement as modified by the posted changes.

The disclaimer herein shall be governed by the law of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People's Republic of China ("Hong Kong") and you agree to submit to the exclusive jurisdiction of the Hong Kong courts.

In the event of any discrepancy between the Chinese and English versions, the English version shall prevail.

Last updated on 9 February 2026.