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<Research> M Stanley Cuts TRAVELSKY TECH (00696.HK) TP to HKD8.8, Rating Underweight
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M Stanley issued a research report lowering its EPS forecasts for TRAVELSKY TECH (00696.HK) for 2026 and 2027 by 7.6% and 8.6%, respectively, reflecting slower revenue growth due to weak aviation demand amid global energy shocks. The broker also introduced a 2028 EPS forecast of RMB0.88. It reduced its TP for TRAVELSKY TECH (00696.HK) by 14% from HKD10.2 to HKD8.8, with a rating of Underweight.

Due to a weaker growth outlook for 2026 to 2028 and beyond, lower-than-expected shareholder returns in FY2025, and slight downward revisions to its dividend payout ratio assumptions for 2026 to 2027, the decline in its base-case valuation per share exceeded the magnitude of the EPS forecast cuts, implying a reduction in the target valuation multiple.

M Stanley noted that while Chinas reopening has supported TRAVELSKY TECHs earnings growth trend, traffic growth in 2026 may slow under macro challenges. In addition, slower-than-expected growth in foreign airline traffic has weighed on average selling price (ASP), while labor cost inflation may slow the pace of margin improvement. (da/u)
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