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<Research>CLSA Estimates MEITUAN-W (03690.HK) 1Q Food Delivery Loss to Narrow Sharply QoQ to RMB7B
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MEITUAN-W (03690.HK) is hopefully to hail gradually easing food delivery subsidy war, but its in-store services will still face competitive pressure, CLSA said in its report. The broker expected MEITUAN-W's total revenue in 1Q26 to grow 5% YoY to RMB91.2 billion, with adjusted Lbit (loss before interest and tax) narrowing QoQ to RMB7.1 billion.

CLSA projected MEITUAN-W's core local commerce (CLC) revenue in 1Q26 to remain flat YoY, while losses narrow to RMB4.5 billion, mainly because the company focused subsidies on high-value users and core in-store verticals. The broker maintained its adjusted net profit forecast and TP at HKD120, reiterating an Outperform rating.

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CLSA expected MEITUAN-W's food delivery revenue in 1Q26 to fade 7% YoY to RMB37.9 billion, due to lower average order value and commission rates, while order volume lifted only 7% amid Lunar New Year competition. However, as MEITUAN-W focused subsidies on high-value users and high-AOV orders, food delivery losses are expected to narrow sharply QoQ to RMB7 billion, compared with RMB13 billion in 4Q25.
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