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<Research>M Stanley Optimistic on AIA (01299.HK) Earnings Outlook, Lifts TP to $111
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Morgan Stanley issued a research report maintaining an optimistic outlook on AIA (01299.HK), and lifting its target price by 16% to $111 from $96, with rating kept at Overweight. The report noted that AIA's new business value growth in 2025 was strong, with an expected rise by 17% on constant exchange rate (CER) basis, laying a solid foundation for 2026.

Morgan Stanley forecasted AIA's 2025 new business value to reach US$5.58 billion, up 18% YoY on actual exchange rates (AER) basis, mainly driven by strong growth in the Hong Kong/ Thailand/ Singapore markets, which recorded growth rates of 28%/ 19%/ 19%, respectively.

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Although the growth in 4Q25 normalized slightly to 13%, the overall performance remained robust. Meanwhile, the Company's full-year operating profit and embedded value are expected to achieve per share hike of 13% and 18% each.
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