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<Research>Nomura Expects JD LOGISTICS (02618.HK) to Record Profit Growth in 4Q, Keeps Rating Buy
Recommend
10
Positive
17
Negative
11
JD LOGISTICS (02618.HK) recorded a 24% YoY revenue growth last quarter, surpassing both market and Nomura's forecasts by 4%, according to Nomura's research report. This growth is believed to be driven by internal revenue increases, offsetting the slowdown in external revenue.

JD LOGISTICS' 3Q25 non-IFRS net profit fell by 22% YoY, 6% higher than the estimations of both the market and broker. Nomura predicted that the strong growth trend in internal revenue will continue in 4Q25.

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With endogenous growth and service revenue related to JD-SW (09618.HK)'s food delivery business, JD LOGISTICS' 4Q25 internal revenue is expected to grow by 33%, driving a projected total revenue incline of 13% YoY.

Nomura anticipated that, with improved utilization of front-loaded investments, JD-SW's 4Q25 adjusted operating profit could record positive growth, with an increase of 41%. The adjusted net profit is al projected to grow by 31% YoY to RMB2.9 billion.

Therefore, Nomura kept rating at Buy, with a target price of $17.

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