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CMBI Slightly Raises Microsoft Corporation (MSFT.US) TP to USD616.4, Maintains Buy Rating
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CMBI released a research report stating that Microsoft Corporation (MSFT.US) delivered strong results for 3QFY2026 (ended June), with total revenue reaching USD82.9 billion, up 18.3% YoY and 2% above market expectations. Revenue from all three major business segments exceeded expectations. Operating profit rose 20% YoY to USD38.4 billion, 3% to 4% above market forecasts, mainly driven by better-than-expected performance in Productivity and Business Processes (PBP) and More Personal Computing (MPC).

The report noted that Azure and other cloud services revenue grew 40% (up 39% at constant exchange rates), exceeding prior guidance of 37% to 38%. Management expects revenue growth of 39% to 40% in 4QFY2026. Management emphasized that GitHub Copilot has shifted to a usage-based billing model, enabling pricing to better align with actual usage and costs. It also expects that all businesses currently charged based on user count will gradually transition to a "per-user + usage-based" pricing model. CMBI believes this model could further unlock commercialization potential and ease market concerns going forward.

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CMBI maintained its revenue and operating profit forecasts for FY2026 to FY2028 largely unchanged. Based on a discounted cash flow model, the TP was slightly raised to USD616.4 (from USD614.6), implying 31.5x FY2027 forecast PE. The Buy rating is maintained. (ad/da)
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