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<Foresight>Brokers Expect AIA's 2025 VONB to Rise 18% YoY; Mkt Focus on Growth Momentum in HK/ CN Mkts & Buyback Plan
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AIA (01299.HK) is set to release its full-year results for 2025 on March 19 (Thursday).

According to the forecasts from six brokers as summarized by our reporters, AIA's 2025 value of new business (VONB) will have reached USD5.559-5.6 billion, up 18-18.8% YoY on an actual exchange rate (AER) basis compared to USD4.712 billion in the same period in 2023. The median of USD5.574 billion also marks an increase of 18.3% YoY.

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Investors will be eyeing AIA management's performance in operating businesses last year, the growth momentum of the VONB in the Hong Kong market after commission adjustments, this year's growth guidance for the China region, disclosure of Indian business, expansion into other markets, and whether the company will announce a new round of share buyback plans.

Brokers | 2025 VONB Forecasts | YoY Changes (on AER Basis)
Citi | USD5.6 billion | +18.8%
UBS | USD5.585 billion | +18.5%
Morgan Stanley | USD5.576 billion | +18.3%
JPMorgan | USD5.572 billion | +18.3%
Goldman Sachs | USD5.561 billion | +18%
Haitong International | USD5.559 billion | +18%

Calculated based on AIA's 2024 VONB of USD4.712 billion.

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