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《大行》滙研:內地整體旅遊意欲仍在但傾向鐵路 料三大航司次季錄虧損
滙豐環球研究報告指,內地五一長假整體旅遊意欲仍然存在,但由於燃油附加費高昂,平均機票價格按年上升9.7%,航運表現遜於鐵路,期內日均航空客運量按年下跌5.7%,但日均鐵路客運量按年增長4.6%。該行預期國內三大航空公司今年次季或重新錄得虧損。據估算,燃油價格每上升10%,可能令其全年的合併虧損平均擴大38%,並拖低股本回報率7.8個百分點。股份方面,該行予攜...
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《大行》滙研:內地整體旅遊意欲仍在但傾向鐵路 料三大航司次季錄虧損
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滙豐環球研究報告指,內地五一長假整體旅遊意欲仍然存在,但由於燃油附加費高昂,平均機票價格按年上升9.7%,航運表現遜於鐵路,期內日均航空客運量按年下跌5.7%,但日均鐵路客運量按年增長4.6%。

該行預期國內三大航空公司今年次季或重新錄得虧損。據估算,燃油價格每上升10%,可能令其全年的合併虧損平均擴大38%,並拖低股本回報率7.8個百分點。

股份方面,該行予攜程(TCOM.US)      「買入」評級,因其受惠於長途及跨境旅遊的增長。同時予同程旅行(00780.HK)  -0.070 (-0.403%)    Short selling $19.26M; Ratio 14.031%   「買入」評級,因其在國內低線市場的穩健增長前景及利潤率復甦。兩間公司的輕資產模式均使其免受燃料成本衝擊的影響。

相反,該行予中國國航(00753.HK)  -0.090 (-1.772%)    Short selling $7.12M; Ratio 16.709%   (601111.SH)  -0.120 (-1.681%)   、東航(00670.HK)  -0.180 (-4.369%)    Short selling $9.34M; Ratio 12.081%   (600115.SH)  -0.170 (-3.769%)   及南航(01055.HK)  -0.160 (-3.747%)    Short selling $4.71M; Ratio 8.890%   (600029.SH)  -0.130 (-2.313%)   「減持」評級,因其面臨多個結構性不利因素,包括中國客戶對價格更敏感、定價能力薄弱、燃油成本上升且無對沖,以及票價轉嫁能力有限等。(ss/j)(HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2026-05-14 16:25.) (A Shares quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.) (Real-time Streaming US Stocks Quote; Except All OTC quotes are at least 15 minutes delayed.)

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