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<Research>G Sachs: Future Lithium Cycle to Be Demand-led; Lithium Carbonate Prices Likely to Peak Out in 1H26
Goldman Sachs said in a research report that the lack of greenfield investment projects in the near term suggests limited long-term supply elasticity for lithium. As such, the traj...
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<Research>G Sachs: Future Lithium Cycle to Be Demand-led; Lithium Carbonate Prices Likely to Peak Out in 1H26
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Goldman Sachs said in a research report that the lack of greenfield investment projects in the near term suggests limited long-term supply elasticity for lithium. As such, the trajectory of the future lithium cycle will primarily depend on demand strength.

For the lithium market to sustain an upcycle in 2026-27, both energy storage systems (ESS) and electric vehicles must record substantial growth.

Related News Daiwa: 2026 Mainland Corporate Earnings Recovery May Accelerate but Not Broad-Based
Under a base-case scenario, Goldman Sachs expects benchmark lithium carbonate prices to peak out in 1H26 at RMB164,000 per ton (around USD21,000) and to further drop to USD10,100-16,000 per ton of lithium carbonate equivalent in 2H26 through 2028.

Goldman Sachs has lifted its target price for GANFENGLITHIUM (01772.HK)  -3.900 (-5.058%)    Short selling $325.31M; Ratio 24.974%   from HKD35 to HKD60 and for TIANQI LITHIUM (09696.HK)  -2.600 (-4.526%)    Short selling $56.43M; Ratio 11.942%   from HKD26 to HKD48. Both have received a Sell rating.
(HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2026-05-15 16:25.)

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