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《大行》華泰證券升龍源電力(00916.HK)目標價至8元 風電電價邊際改善
華泰證券發表報告指,龍源電力(00916.HK)2026年第一季實現營收78.68億元人民幣(下同),按年跌4%,淨利潤16.24億元,按年跌15%,扣非淨利潤16.39億元,按年跌12%,淨利潤符合該行預測區間14億至18億元。公司風電與光伏裝機規模穩步擴張,來風偏弱拖累風電出力。首季風電電價按年及按季上漲,光伏電價維持低位,度電淨利潤按年略降、按季大升。...
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《大行》華泰證券升龍源電力(00916.HK)目標價至8元 風電電價邊際改善
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華泰證券發表報告指,龍源電力(00916.HK)  -0.090 (-1.312%)    Short selling $55.71M; Ratio 35.907%   2026年第一季實現營收78.68億元人民幣(下同),按年跌4%,淨利潤16.24億元,按年跌15%,扣非淨利潤16.39億元,按年跌12%,淨利潤符合該行預測區間14億至18億元。公司風電與光伏裝機規模穩步擴張,來風偏弱拖累風電出力。首季風電電價按年及按季上漲,光伏電價維持低位,度電淨利潤按年略降、按季大升。機制電價落地與環境價值顯性化,看好新能源長期收益率有望趨於穩定。公司基本面向上拐點臨近,該行對龍源電力(001289.SZ)  +0.620 (+3.832%)   A股及H股均維持「買入」評級。

該行預計龍源電力2026至2028年淨利潤為44.89億、55.2億及66.5億元,較前值分別上調2.5%、9.5%與10.1%,三年年均複合增長率為14%,對應每股盈利預測為0.54、0.66及0.8元。上調主要是考慮到風電新增裝機與電價高於此前預期。

該行給予龍源電力A股目標價18.9元人民幣,前值17.68元,基於2026年預測市盈率35倍,低於可比均值39倍預測市盈率,考慮到2026至2028年淨利潤的年均複合增長率14%低於可比均值28%;給予公司港股目標價8港元,前值7.68港元,認為風電電價邊際改善。(ha/j)(HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2026-05-04 16:25.) (A Shares quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.)

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