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<Research>JPM Drops HENDERSON LAND (00012.HK) TP to $35, Suggests Buying on Dips as Firm Targets Earnings Rebound This Yr
HENDERSON LAND (00012.HK) posted a 38% YoY decline in its 2025 underlying earnings, which should not surprise the market, JPMorgan published a research report saying. The 30% divid...
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<Research>JPM Drops HENDERSON LAND (00012.HK) TP to $35, Suggests Buying on Dips as Firm Targets Earnings Rebound This Yr
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HENDERSON LAND (00012.HK)  -0.500 (-1.702%)    Short selling $110.61M; Ratio 239.388%   posted a 38% YoY decline in its 2025 underlying earnings, which should not surprise the market, JPMorgan published a research report saying. The 30% dividend cut has somewhat removed uncertainties.

During the results briefing, management stated their goal to stabilize dividends in 2026, with earnings expected to rebound by 28% in 2026. Of which, the development property profit margin of Hong Kong may recover to at least high-teens (approx. 13-17%).

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The broker believed that, as long as the macro environment does not significantly deteriorate, these targets should be achievable.

In addition, JPMorgan predicted that the Company's share price may come under pressure following the dividend cut, and suggested investors buy on dips. The broker forecasted the Company's 2025-2028 earnings to have a CAGR of 19%.

Therefore, JPMorgan kept rating at Overweight, and dropped its target price from $39 to $35 due to the higher uncertainty in the current interest rate outlook.
(HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2026-04-02 16:25.)

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