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<Research> Citi: CHOW TAI FOOK (01929.HK) Results In Line; Cuts TP to HKD15.4
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Citi published a research report stating that CHOW TAI FOOK (01929.HK)'s results for FY2026 ended March were in line with expectations. Net profit increased 52% YoY to HKD9 billion. Management's guidance for sales and profit margins for FY2027 ending March next year both exceeded expectations. From April to May this year, same-store sales in mainland China resumed 20% growth, while same-store sales in Hong Kong, Macau and overseas markets rose 41%, reflecting a recovery in demand for pure gold jewelry amid a pullback in gold prices.

As of March this year, CHOW TAI FOOK had eight new high-end image stores, with productivity reaching 8 to 10 times that of average stores, representing a 57% increase in FY2026. Productivity of renovated stores also rose 15%. The group plans to open more high-end and self-operated stores in FY2027, accounting for more than 50% of new stores, and the net number of store closures is expected to narrow significantly. Citi raised its net profit forecasts for FY2027 to FY2028 by 8% to 9%, mainly due to a 3% to 7% upward revision in revenue forecasts and higher net margin assumptions. The broker maintained a Buy rating and lowered the TP from HKD16.7 to HKD15.4, corresponding to a forecast FY2027 P/E ratio of 15x. (gc/da)

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