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<Research> Citi Raises TSMC (TSMC.US) Earnings Forecast, Expects AI-Related Revenue to Double Next Year
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Citi has raised its earnings forecast for TSMC (TSMC.US) for 2026 and 2027 by 3% and 11%, respectively, believing that the company's earnings growth remains consistently robust. It is anticipated that earnings will grow by 41%, 39%, and 27% in 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively.

The firm expects strong AI demand, extending beyond GPUs and ASICs to a broader ecosystem including CPUs, network chips, and co-packaged optics (CPO). Ongoing supply constraints also support wafer price increases; in an environment of growing depreciation and inflation, this enhances TSMC's pricing power and profit resilience.

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The firm anticipates that TSMC's AI-related revenue will grow by over 100% year-on-year next year due to process node improvements and larger chip sizes, and expects the gross margin to remain at the mid-60% level. The firm reiterates its "Buy" rating on TSMC (2330.TW), raising the target price from TWD2,600 to TWD2,800. (ss/j)
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