Sylvia Sheng, Global Multi-Asset Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, said the firm’s base-case forecasts that oil prices will largely return to normal in 3-4Q. Under this base case, it expected global economic growth to remain resilient. The firm maintained a moderately risk-on stance, including an Overweight position in equities, and reiterated its preference for the technology and communication services sectors. Sheng noted that economies vary in their vulnerability to rising energy prices. In the firm’s base-case scenario, the US economy is expected to shift from above-trend growth to near- (or slightly above-) trend growth, with limited pass-through of higher oil prices to core inflation. Both consumers and businesses view the recent surge in energy prices as brief, which should help avoid a broader economic slowdown.Related NewsPPI YoY for Apr in China is 2.8%, higher than the previous value of 0.5%. The forecast was 1.5%.
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