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M Stanley: US CPI Tonight to Be 'Spicier'; Firms May Not Be Able to Pass on Cost Pressures to Consumers
The US will release the CPI tonight (12th). Matt Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy at Morgan Stanley, forecast this round of inflation data to be "spicier". It will...
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M Stanley: US CPI Tonight to Be 'Spicier'; Firms May Not Be Able to Pass on Cost Pressures to Consumers
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The US will release the CPI tonight (12th). Matt Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy at Morgan Stanley, forecast this round of inflation data to be "spicier".

It will be the first in a series of data releases this week that will ultimately feed into the Federal Reserves' most closely watched inflation gauge, the core PCE price index.

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The Fed will hold its next rate-setting meeting on June 16-17, having earlier stated that the PCE price index is an important reference for its interest rate decisions.

Hornbach noted that, based on past experience, companies may not necessarily pass inflationary pressures on to consumers, akin to the situation after the US government levied additional tariffs, when consumer price hikes were not as severe as expected.

At present, companies are facing enormous pressures from soaring energy costs and the expenses associated with AI infrastructure construction.

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However, it remains uncertain whether firms will ultimately be able to fully pass these costs on to consumers. As such, Morgan Stanley forecast that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this year.

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