UBS research report forecast BABA-W (09988.HK) -2.300 (-1.833%) Short selling $1.14B; Ratio 18.057% to post revenue of RMB237 billion in 4QFY26, flat YoY. The broker forecast China e-commerce EBITA of approximately RMB26 billion. Owing to merchant subsidies (accounted as contra revenue), CMR growth was expected to come under pressure, but this will not affect EBITA.Cloud revenue was projected to grow 40% YoY, on the ride of sustained strong external demand. International commerce revenue was expected to increase 5% YoY, with losses narrowing. However, UBS estimated that EBITA losses from Alibaba's other businesses (including AI-related investments) will widen to RMB20 billion, in wake of heightened investment in Qwen model training, and ToC application promotion. The broker projected quarterly adjusted EBITA of RMB5.9 billion, down 82% YoY.Related News Citi Raises ALIBABA-W (09988.HK) TP to HKD204, Rating BuyUBS lowered its FY2026-28 adjusted EPS forecasts for Alibaba by 8-21% to reflect increased AI investments. It cut the TP from HKD185 to HKD166 and maintained a Buy rating. (HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2026-04-13 16:25.)
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