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《大行》瑞銀料長和(00001.HK)可受惠於油價上升 太古A(00019.HK)則受不利影響
瑞銀發表研究報告，指中東地緣衝突引發宏觀經濟不確定性，香港綜合企業的風險回報對外圍影響變得更敏感。該行假設中東衝突持續至今年第三季底仍未解決，霍爾木茲海峽油輪通過量仍較少，全年布蘭特原油平均價格為每桶132.5美元。在此情境下，該行估計長和(00001.HK)的資產淨值及2026年盈利潛在上升9%及66%，主要因旗下Cenovus Energy可受惠於油價上...
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《大行》瑞銀料長和(00001.HK)可受惠於油價上升 太古A(00019.HK)則受不利影響
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瑞銀發表研究報告，指中東地緣衝突引發宏觀經濟不確定性，香港綜合企業的風險回報對外圍影響變得更敏感。該行假設中東衝突持續至今年第三季底仍未解決，霍爾木茲海峽油輪通過量仍較少，全年布蘭特原油平均價格為每桶132.5美元。

在此情境下，該行估計長和(00001.HK)  +0.500 (+0.789%)    Short selling $33.29M; Ratio 23.346%   的資產淨值及2026年盈利潛在上升9%及66%，主要因旗下Cenovus Energy可受惠於油價上升。而太古A(00019.HK)  +0.250 (+0.290%)    Short selling $4.13M; Ratio 28.380%   的資產淨值及2026年盈利則可能下跌19%及26%，因旗下國泰(00293.HK)  +0.150 (+1.309%)    Short selling $6.20M; Ratio 17.426%   受到燃料成本壓力。

該行現予長和目標價67港元及「買入」評級；太古A則獲「中性」評級，目標價72.7港元。(ss/da)(HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2026-04-14 12:25.)

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