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<Research>UBS: H-/ A-shrs Not in Extreme Pessimism; Balanced Portfolio Remains Best Strategy
Since both the HSI and CSI 300 Index fell nearly 4% on Monday (23rd), the market appears to be in a state of indiscriminate selling, UBS published a research report saying. Compare...
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<Research>UBS: H-/ A-shrs Not in Extreme Pessimism; Balanced Portfolio Remains Best Strategy
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Since both the HSI and CSI 300 Index fell nearly 4% on Monday (23rd), the market appears to be in a state of indiscriminate selling, UBS published a research report saying. Compared to historical sell-offs, this was one of the worst 30-day periods in the past decade.

The core question for investors is whether it is time to bottom fish? After comparing the current situation with historical extreme downturn events, the broker concluded that, although there are some signs of disorderly selling, the market is still some way from extreme pessimism.

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Given the uncertainty in the geopolitical environment, UBS continued to favor A-shares and believed that a balanced investment portfolio remains the most viable strategy.

The broker listed Chinese potential outperformers during oil price hike, including PETROCHINA (00857.HK)  +0.220 (+2.085%)    Short selling $379.67M; Ratio 75.241%   , CNOOC (00883.HK)  +0.060 (+0.223%)    Short selling $602.03M; Ratio 28.522%   , DONGFANG ELEC (01072.HK)  -1.340 (-3.653%)    Short selling $20.83M; Ratio 12.941%   , BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)  -0.800 (-0.764%)    Short selling $1.06B; Ratio 98.115%   , Li Auto (LI.US)      , CHINA MOBILE (00941.HK)  +0.250 (+0.313%)    Short selling $314.81M; Ratio 104.264%   , CITIC BANK (00998.HK)  +0.050 (+0.635%)    Short selling $12.60M; Ratio 71.991%   , CCB (00939.HK)  +0.040 (+0.476%)    Short selling $663.03M; Ratio 139.847%   , BANK OF CHINA (03988.HK)  +0.050 (+0.998%)    Short selling $358.68M; Ratio 92.286%   and ICBC (01398.HK)  +0.080 (+1.163%)    Short selling $374.10M; Ratio 148.335%   .

Overall, while there are signs of selling in the current market, it has not yet entered an extreme pessimism phase. The broker stated that a balanced allocation favoring A-shares, with moderate inclusion of sectors that can withstand geopolitical shocks, remains the most prudent investment strategy.
(HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2026-04-02 16:25.) (Real-time Streaming US Stocks Quote; Except All OTC quotes are at least 15 minutes delayed.)

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