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<Research>Citi Raises HK 2026 Home Price Growth Forecast to 8%, Expects Developers to Regain Growth Momentum
Citi Research published a research report saying that its previous forecast in October 2025 for a mere 3% increase in Hong Kong residential property prices in 2026 was overly conse...
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<Research>Citi Raises HK 2026 Home Price Growth Forecast to 8%, Expects Developers to Regain Growth Momentum
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Citi Research published a research report saying that its previous forecast in October 2025 for a mere 3% increase in Hong Kong residential property prices in 2026 was overly conservative.

The actual increase for the entire 2025 was 4.7%, and home prices have already risen by 1% since the beginning of 2026. The broker now revised its 2026 Hong Kong home price forecast from a 3% increase to an 8% increase, and expected further acceleration into 2027 under a multi-year upcycle.

Related News UBS: If US Raises Rates This Year, HK Property Market and Real Estate Stocks Face Downside Risk; Rising Oil Prices Impact HK Retail
After bottoming out in 2025, Citi Research was more optimistic on its expected further recovery of Hong Kong homebuilders in 2026, supported mainly by home price upcycle: improving profit margins from new home sales and upside to net asset value (NAV); and new home sales volume at 6-year high and growing, etc..

Citi Research recommended SHK PPT (00016.HK)  -3.600 (-2.675%)    Short selling $338.08M; Ratio 199.457%   , SINO LAND (00083.HK)  -0.150 (-1.282%)    Short selling $26.41M; Ratio 409.386%   and HENDERSON LAND (00012.HK)  -0.500 (-1.702%)    Short selling $110.61M; Ratio 239.388%   .
(HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2026-04-02 16:25.)

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