BofA Securities issued a research report believing that 1H25 results for China's property sector to be weak. Therefore, the broker still could not rule out the possibility of moderate real estate policy easing due to continued deterioration in the physical market. The Politburo meeting in July will be a key event.

The share price performance of Chinese developers has been divergent YTD, demonstrating the importance of factors such as city location, timing of land acquisition and profit outlook, BofA Securities added.

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Taking into account the current valuation level, i.e. the projected 2027 PE ratio of 8.5x, or slightly above historical average, the broker was cautiously selective on the sector, and preferred quality companies.

BofA Securities continued to be bullish on CHINA RES LAND (01109.HK)  -0.250 (-0.867%)    Short selling $91.61M; Ratio 22.195%   , CHINA OVERSEAS (00688.HK)  -0.100 (-0.735%)    Short selling $64.76M; Ratio 37.724%   and C&D INTL GROUP (01908.HK)  -0.020 (-0.126%)    Short selling $14.93M; Ratio 18.205%   . The broker reiterated ratings at Underperform on POLY DEVELOPMENTS(600048.SH)  -0.030 (-0.376%)   , MERCHANTS SHEKOU(001979.SZ)  -0.040 (-0.460%)   and CHINA VANKE (02202.HK)  -0.090 (-1.804%)    Short selling $63.29M; Ratio 38.829%   (000002.SZ)  -0.050 (-0.776%)   .

BofA Securities predicted a recovery in the sector's earnings for FY2027, supported by a rebound in profit margins. However, due to unstable recovery in contracted sales, the broker lowered its 2027 industry earnings forecast by 3%, and reduced its average target price for the industry by approx. 3%. The latest ratings and target prices of the sector are listed in a separate table.
(HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2025-08-01 16:25.) (A Shares quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.)

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