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<Research>UBS Forecasts CN Economic Growth at 4.5% Next Yr, Net Export Contribution to Narrow Sharply
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UBS has released a research report predicting that China's economic growth will slow to 4.5% next year, and that decelerated exports will lead to a sharp narrowing of net export contributions to economic growth.

Overall domestic activity is expected to remain resilient, while the real estate downside will persist but narrow. Consumption is projected to maintain moderate but slightly slower growth. Infrastructure and manufacturing investments are likely to moderately recover from the steep YoY decline in 2H25.

Related NewsVehicle Sales YoY for Oct in China is 8.8%, lower than the previous value of 14.9%.
UBS also envisions China's consumer price index to increase by 0.4%, while the producer price index decline narrows.
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